Unicorn Private Research

Ripple: a 50 billion dollar valuation the company set itself

By Unicorn Private Research. Published and last updated 26 September 2026.

Key takeaways

Ripple is the clearest example on this site of a valuation that is not a market price. The number comes from the company buying its own shares, at a price the company states. That is legitimate and disclosed, and it is a different thing from a price discovered with an outside buyer, which is the distinction a purchaser needs to hold on to.

Who set each price

ValuationWhat set itSource and date
About 28 billion dollarsReported markJune 2025
40 billion dollars500 million dollar investment led by Fortress and Citadel SecuritiesRipple, 5 November 2025
40 billion dollars1 billion dollar tender offer, lowest participation of any Ripple tenderOctober 2025
50 billion dollars750 million dollar buyback tender run by the companyCoinDesk, 11 March 2026

The step from 40 to 50 billion dollars was struck while bitcoin and XRP fell 30 to 40 per cent over the same period. A valuation rising while the associated token falls is possible, but it is the kind of divergence that should be explained by disclosure, and here there is little.

What is disclosed, and what is not

The company reports operating milestones: Ripple Payments volumes past 95 billion dollars, the RLUSD stablecoin past 1 billion dollars of market capitalisation, 75 regulatory licences, six acquisitions in two years including Hidden Road at 1.25 billion dollars and GTreasury at 1 billion. The chief executive has targeted a 1 billion dollar revenue run rate by the end of 2026, explicitly excluding XRP held on the balance sheet.

What is not disclosed is revenue. There is no audited or company-published revenue figure. As of 31 March 2025 Ripple reported holding 4,562,433,147 XRP directly and 37,130,000,005 in on-ledger escrow, releasing monthly over 42 months. It stopped publishing those reports after that quarter. The single largest asset inside the equity can therefore no longer be marked by an outside buyer.

The regulatory record

The SEC action filed in December 2020 ended in August 2025 when both cross-appeals were dismissed. The judgment imposed a civil penalty of 125,035,150 dollars and injunctive relief prohibiting further registration violations, and that injunction remains enforceable. The 2023 holding distinguishing institutional sales of XRP from retail exchange sales also stands.

What a buyer is taking on before a listing

Exposure before a listing

Ripple has repurchased more than a quarter of its shares, which concentrates the remaining register, and existing holders have repeatedly declined to sell into its tenders. Transfer terms and rights of first refusal are not public. Unicorn Private underwrites positions where the price has been struck with an outside party and the balance sheet can be marked, and Ripple currently satisfies neither test, which is a statement about disclosure rather than about the business.

The short answer

Ripple is described as a 50 billion dollar company because Ripple offered to buy its own shares at that price in March 2026. There is no published revenue, no disclosure of the token treasury since May 2025, and no intention to list. The equity may well be valuable. The 50 billion dollar figure is not evidence of how valuable.

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About the publisher

This guide is published by Unicorn Private Research, the research arm of Unicorn Private LLC, a Delaware private equity firm that acquires secondary stakes in late-stage private technology companies before their IPO. The firm invests only in established companies already valued above one billion dollars, not in early-stage start-ups, and its founders have been active in private equity and startup investing since 2005.

Unicorn Private is the first firm in the pre-IPO secondary market to create an open and entirely free research centre in nine languages: guides, a tracker of the largest private technology companies, a glossary, and a frequently asked questions section, free to read at no cost, with every figure carrying a date and a link to a public source.

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Sources

  1. Ripple's share buyback program values the firm at $50 billion, CoinDesk, 11 March 2026
  2. Ripple announces $500 million strategic investment led by Fortress and Citadel Securities, valuing the company at $40 billion, Ripple, 5 November 2025
  3. Why Ripple's rosy $50bn valuation raises more questions than answers, DL News, 13 March 2026
  4. SEC v. Ripple Labs, litigation release 26369, SEC, 7 August 2025
  5. Q1 2025 XRP markets report, Ripple, 5 May 2025